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Saturday, December 22, 2012

The Broncos are looking to lock-up a first round bye this week. Week 16 playoff scenarios.


The Broncos with first year QB Peyton Manning are looking to lock-up a first round bye with a win Sunday


Now that we're in the last two weeks of the season, the playoff scenarios are starting to come into focus.

Here's a look at the scenarios and my predictions:





AFC - Playoff Scenarios

HOUSTON TEXANS - Playing Minnesota
Houston can clinch a first-round bye with:
1) HOU win or tie OR - I expect Houston to win this game, they should lock-up Sunday.
2) NE loss or tie OR - Playing Jacksonville this week, Patriots won't lose
3) DEN loss - Playing Cleveland, Broncos win.
Houston can clinch home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs with:
1) HOU win OR - Again, I expect Houston to win this game.
2) HOU tie + DEN loss or tie OR - Ties are rare and Denver isn't going to lose in Cleveland
3) NE loss or tie + DEN loss - Not likely that either team will lose this week.

Houston - The bottom line here is that Houston is going to lock-up home field throughout the playoffs in the AFC.


DENVER BRONCOS - Playing Cleveland
Denver can clinch a first-round bye with:
1) DEN win + NE loss or tie OR - Likely that Broncos will win but the Patriots will not lose vs Jax,
2) DEN tie + NE loss - Ties are unlikely and again, Pats will not lose

Denver - The bottom line here is that Denver and New England will win and the second bye will be determined in week 17


BALTIMORE RAVENS - Playing the Giants
Baltimore can clinch the AFC North division with:
1) BAL win OR - The Giants are coming off an embarrasing loss to the Falcons and the Ravens are still trying to figure out their new offense.  I expect the Giants to win.
2) BAL tie + CIN loss or tie - The tie is not likely but I do expect the Bengals to lose vs the Steelers. 

Baltimore - The Ravens will not lock up the playoffs this week and will be in a must win in week 17.


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Playing the Chiefs 
Indianapolis can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) IND win or tie OR - The Colts will win this game and clinch a playoff spot.
2) IND clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over CIN OR - This comes down to points scored, I don't think this will come into play with the Colts winning.
3) PIT loss or tie - The Steelers should win against the Bengals but this is a possibility.


Colts - The bottom line here is that Andrew Luck and the Colts will lock-up a playoff spot.

CINCINNATI BENGALS - Playing Steelers
Cincinnati can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) CIN win - I do not expect the Bengals to win this game but it wouldn't shock me if they did.

Bengals - Cincinnati is not going to win this week and will be in a must win situation in week 17.

NFC Week 16 Playoff Scenarios

ATLANTA FALCONS - Playing Detroit

Atlanta can clinch a first-round bye with:
1) ATL win or tie OR - The Falcons are rolling and the Lions are terrible right now.  Falcons win.
2) GB loss or tie OR - The Packers are playing well and the Titans are not a threat.  Packers not likely to lose this one.
3) SF loss - I expect San Fran to win this game but it would not shock me if they lost.
Atlanta can clinch home-field advantage throughout NFC playoffs with:
1) ATL win OR - The Falcons win against the Lions and clinch
2) ATL tie + SF loss or tie OR - Ties are not likely.
3) GB loss or tie + SF loss - Ties are not likely but San Fran could lose.

Atlanta - The Falcons will beat the Lions and lock-up home field in the NFC.


SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - Playing @ Seattle
San Francisco can clinch the NFC West division with:
1) SF win or tie OR - I'm going with San Fran on the road but I could see the Seahawks winning.
San Francisco can clinch a first-round bye with:
1) SF win + GB loss or tie OR - San Fran will win this week but the Packers are not going to lose to the Titans.

2) SF tie + GB loss - Ties don't happen and Packers are not going to lose.

San Francisco - The 49ers can lock-up the division with a road win this week against a tough Seattle team.  I expect the 49ers to win.


WASHINGTON REDSKINS - Playing Eagles.
Washington can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) WAS win + NYG loss + CHI loss + MIN loss - The Redskins should win their game against the Eagles.  The Giants will beat the Ravens, the Bears will beat the Cardinals and Minnesota will lose to Houston.

Washington - The Redskins are a great story but need too much help to lock-up the playoffs this week.  They need to win and go into next week with the possibility of making the playoffs.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - Playing San Francisco
Seattle can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) SEA win OR - I've picked to San Francisco to win but I should go with Seattle at home.
2) SEA tie + NYG loss + CHI loss or tie OR - Ties not likely and both Giants and Bears win.
3) SEA tie + NYG loss + MIN loss or tie OR - Ties not likely, Giants win but Vikings lose.
4) SEA tie + CHI loss or tie + MIN loss or tie OR - Ties are not likely, Bears win but Vikings lose.
5) SEA tie + DAL loss + WAS loss + CHI loss or tie OR - Ties not likely, Dallas Loses, Redskins Wins and Bears win.
6) SEA tie + DAL loss + WAS loss + MIN loss or tie OR - Ties not likely, Dallas loses, Washington wins and Vikings lose.
7) CHI loss + MIN loss + WAS loss OR - Bears win, Vikings lose, Redskins win.
8) CHI loss + MIN loss + DAL loss or tie + WAS tie - Bears win, Vikings lose, Dallas loses and Redskins win.

Seattle - The Seahawks have a lot of options to make the playoffs but the easiest is for them to win at home against the 49ers.


NEW YORK GIANTS - @ Baltimore
NY Giants can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) NYG win + CHI loss + MIN loss + DAL loss + WAS loss or tie OR - Giants should win this game coming off a disappointing blowout last week, Bears win, Vikings lose, Dallas loses.
2) NYG win + CHI loss + MIN loss + WAS loss + DAL tie - Giants should win, Bears win, Vikings lose, Dallas loses.

Giants - The Giants need too much help this week and will be in a must win situation next week.


That's a look at the playoff options for week 16.

By 

Scott King

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